America gets its ‘ass handed to it’ in WW3 simulations: U.S. forces are defeated by Russia and China in almost all scenarios, analysts warn
The US may not stand a chance against Russia and China should World War III break out, advanced warfare analysts have warned.
Nonprofit global policy think tank RAND has been performing simulated war scenarios, often sponsored by the Pentagon, to test how American forces would fare against the world's other leading military superpowers.
Last week, RAND analysts revealed that in scenario after scenario, the US has suffered severe losses despite spending nearly $1trillion annually on the military, exceeding the spending of any other country by more than double.
'In our games, when we fight Russia and China, "blue" gets its ass handed to it,' researcher David Ochmanek explained at the Center for a New American Security on Thursday, Breaking Defense first reported. American forces are generally color-coded in blue in the simulations.
'We lose a lot of people. We lose a lot of equipment. We usually fail to achieve our objective of preventing aggression by the adversary,' Ochmanek added.
Though hypothetical, the simulated games warn that the world order America has fought to protect for more than a century could be at risk.
The simulated conflicts take place in all five domains of battle: land, sea, air, space and cyberspace.
Accord to RAND, 'red' aggressor forces frequently burn US military bases to the ground, sink warships and take out cyber systems.
Robert Work, a former deputy secretary of defense and experienced war-gamer, explained that America's F-35 fighter jet is the most advanced of its kind in the sky, but is vulnerable on the tarmac.
'In every case I know of, the F-35 rules the sky when it's in the sky,' Work said Thursday. 'But it gets killed on the ground in large numbers.'
Work also warned that US military bases across Europe and the Pacific are not equipped to handle the fire they would face in a high-end conflict.
Work and Ochmanek both said China focus on cyberspace with 'system destruction warfare', which involves targeting US communications satellites, command-and-control systems, and wireless networks.
'The brain and the nervous system that connects all of these pieces is suppressed, if not shattered,' Ochmanek said.
The Chinese would 'attack the American battle network at all levels, relentlessly,' Work warned, adding that 'they practice it all the time'.
'These are the things that the war games show over and over and over, so we need a new American way of war without question,' Work said.
Work and Ochmanek's bleak observations mirror the findings of an assessment carried out last fall by the National Defense Strategy Commission, a bipartisan panel of experts selected by Congress to evaluate America's National Defense Strategy.
'If the United States had to fight Russia in a Baltic contingency or China in a war over Taiwan, Americans could face a decisive military defeat,' the Commission said in a November report.
The report highlighted how the US has lost its military edge as rival powers, namely Russia and China, have developed a 'suite of advanced capabilities heretofore possessed only by the United States'.
It came to the alarming conclusion that the US is 'at greater risk than at any time in decades'.
However, RAND's findings aren't all doom and gloom.
Analysts say it would take just $24billion to improve outcomes - which is about three percent of the $750billion defense budget President Donald Trump will propose for 2020.
The Air Force had approached RAND to develop a plan to fix the problems behind the poor outcomes.
To his surprise, Ochmanek said: 'We found it impossible to spend more than $8billion a year' on necessary improvement.
The $24billion number comes from tripling that $8billion to cover the Army and the Navy.
Ochmanek said that adding $24billion to the budget 'for the next five years would be a good expenditure' to prepare the US for World War III, which he predicts is at least 10 to 20 years down the road.
efepero, Washington DC, United States, about 4 hours ago
Sorry DM I am going to call bull--ish on this one. Neither China or Russia comes close to our national spending on defense or the technology we possess on the battlefields. The only way we can be defeated is because of crappy rules of engagement instituted by our politicians.
Allen_Akbar, Bradistan UK, United Kingdom, about 5 hours ago
I have 100% respect or the RAND orgainization - BUT... ...does this study take into account that the whole free world would stand against communist expansion / agression if they did attack the USA?
Tricks R 4 Kids, Everywhere, United States, about 10 hours ago
Message to Save the World: Boeing has contracts with china. So your comment about made in america is ignorant. Boeing opened a 737 plant in china last year and these are new planes that are going down so you do the math.
Nonna Tached, Twilight Zone, United States Minor Outlying Islands, about 11 hours ago
It should not matter since America is the only real aggressor (despite their propagandizing otherwise).
Rickjames, Virginia Beach, United States, 1 day ago
Obama did his best to destroy our military. Thank a God that Trump is building it back up again.
illuminated_one, Manchester, United Kingdom, 14 hours ago
Destroy your military? Have you any idea what was spent on the military during the Obama administration? Almost SIX TRILLION dollars. Wouldn't you rather spend a fraction of that money on healthcare that doesn't bankrupt you if you suffer serious illness?
ILoatheThisRag, Planet Earth, United Kingdom, 14 hours ago
Your military will be made up pretty much completely by millennials. I'm sure the families of those 'millinials' who died in operations in recent years in Afghanistan will be really grateful for your support.
pepsiumar, Springfield , United States, 1 day ago
War involves human. You cannot predict humans. No computer can.
MrPrytania, Chicago, United States, 1 day ago
War is like the stock market. You cannot make exact predictions but you infer probabilities and assess from there. You cannot predict one person but you can predict a million. That's how Facebook makes money along with Netflix
Paulm69, Rivendell., United Kingdom, 23 hours ago
Hmmm, global war happens when fools arise on the world stage. Kennedy, thankfully had read the Guns of August before the Cuban missile crisis and it guided him somewhat..if you don't know the book argues that ww1 shouldn't have happened but we had idiots in charge..
Yabba_Dabba_Dooo, Anytown, United States, 15 hours ago
Didn't the UK fight a little war called the 100 years war? Obviously it wasn't 100 years but I just find it ironic that a Brit wants to lecture the US about wars when you guys couldn't get along with ANYONE in Europe from the very beginning of your existence until the end of WW2.
lluminated_one, Manchester, United Kingdom, 14 hours ago
I know with absolute certainty that Russia and China cannot be defeated with conventional forces, which leaves Nuclear. We launch and they launch and that's how humanity's brief chapter ends on our Planet.
weavy11, Geneva, Switzerland, 1 day ago
Real war events are more different than some computer generated data. All nonsense.
Nehemiah Scudder, Pandemonium, United Kingdom, 12 hours ago
America has been tearing up every agreement it ever signed,and insulting its allies at every opportunity .America may well find those allies tearing up their agreements at a time most inconvenient to the USA.
Lavaflakes, Nowhere, United States, 1 day ago
People are you that stupid. This is a think tank set up by a DoD defense contractor funded by the tax payer. Rand is non-profit but the companies it supports are not. You can cook the books to give any outcome you want to show. The main reason these types of "think tanks" exist is to justify more DoD spending.
Duarteandrea, Phoenix, United States, 1 day ago
If China Russia and USA went to war there would be no winners. Only losers on all sides.
Nath-, Dover, 19 hours ago
It's happening over here in the UK, Google the British army's latest advertising campaign... and it will be like this until politics more from the left and back to the centre...
Twines1987, Brighton, United Kingdom, 16 hours ago
The UK has fought beside you in pretty much every conflict you have started barring Vietnam oh yeah and you lost that one. In fact has America ever won a major Conflict without the uk ??
MaverickRose, Somewhere, United Kingdom, 1 day ago
The problem is that people have become more wise to being used as cannon fodder for wars for profit. No wars in the last sixty years have been in defense of the nation or its' allies (exempting Kuwait).
D000000d60, Bay of Whales, United States, 1 day ago
WWIII would not be a conventional war like others. It would be a nuclear war lasting probably an hour. No one is winner. We though lose most cause we have most at stake.
Atomical0923, Kansas City, United States, 1 day ago
The United States has an entire fleet of Ohio class ballistic missile submarines lurking in the depths of the ocean. Each sub has 24 Trident II missiles and each one of those missiles has 12 nuclear warheads in a MIRV configuration. The Russians and Chinese already know this. It's a concept called MAD (mutually assured destruction) and has been around since the cold war. Basically no one's going to be a winner in WWIII.
Schmegma, Conshohoken, United States, 1 day ago
So the US spends more than the next nine countries combined. Yet, we cant defeat numbers 2 and 3? Hmmm. Either we are throwing money down the drain or this "think tank" is a mouthpiece for the military industrial complex. Our citizens have 300,000,000 guns. Come ashore. Lets see what what happens. Did u factor that in your "calculus"?
RoseinTexas, Abilene, United States, 1 day ago
We probably would lose right now. We don't need more spending we need the American spirit to return. We need the current generation to have the same courage as past generations.
Cybersklar, Los Angeles, United States, 17 hours ago
This is the stupidest thing I ever heard of. If World War 3 breaks out, EVERYBODY loses.
Witzelsucht, Los Angeles, United States, 1 day ago
Certain elements of the United States Government would prefer to see that 26 billion spent on welfare and support for illegal immigrants. These elements pray for the day America is governed by occupying forces under a socialist system.
Cambyses, Salt Lake city, United States, 1 day ago
Must be the same analysts who said Hillary had a 99% chance of winning. No one wars like the USA.
Rrrod, Elsewhere, United States, 1 day ago
Real Americans will fight. Democrats will cry and hide.
freedomofspeech4som, Pittsburgh, United States, 1 day ago
Obama decimated the US military over 8 years, which is why Trump had to put so much money into their budget to build it back up.
Quatermass., Edmonton AB, Canada, 1 day ago
Walmart raised the minimum age for firearms and ammunition purchases at its stores to 21 on Wednesday. ... Walmart is the largest single seller of guns in theU.S. and operates 4,600 stores around the country. The company stopped selling the AR-15 and other rifles in 2015 and only sells handguns in Alaska.Mar 1, 2018
BarryBwana, Canada, 18 hours ago
Honestly, a quick tour of any American University and you'll know exactly why America will lose WW3..... you think the youth paralyzed by microaggressions are going to defend a country or the lives of others? LOL
Camikazi, Waterbury, United States, 17 hours ago
Not only would it destroy those 3 countries it would remove the leashes from the smaller countries they hold and that do not like each other. I doubt most of the Middle East and some parts of Asia would survive long after the 3 powers are gone.